Long-term Energy Scenarios (LTES) campaign

The Long-term Scenarios for the Energy Transition (LTES) campaign, launched at the Ninth Clean Energy Ministerial (CEM9) in May 2018 in Copenhagen, Denmark, aims to promote the wider adoption and improved use of long-term model-based energy scenarios to support and accelerate the energy transition among CEM countries. 

The campaign is co-led by the Danish and German governments and supported by additional country members and technical partners, while IRENA executes the campaign as the operating agent. Since its inception, several events and webinars have been organised to promote an exchange of insights and compile best practices among members and partners. The findings from the campaign so far have been summarised and published in the LTES campaign synthesis report: "Scenarios for the Energy Transition: Global experience and best practices".

The LTES campaign focuses on three interconnected themes:

  • Integrating scenarios into decision making: demonstrating how governments can use energy scenarios to ensure better policy making as well as exploring how scenarios can be made more relevant to private investors.
  • Improving scenarios for the clean energy transition: examining how long-term energy scenarios can be strengthened to better account for potentially transformational changes to the energy system. 
  • Identifying capacity building requirements: analysing where long-term energy scenario development can be improved and how best practices can be shared to enhance institutional scenario planning capacity.

As of March 2020, the following governments are members of the CEM LTES campaign: Brazil, Canada, Chile, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Italy, Japan, Mexico, the Netherlands, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and the United Kingdom.

Participating technical institutions in the CEM LTES campaign are the China National Renewable Energy Centre (CNREC); the International Energy Agency (IEA) and IEA Energy Technology Systems Assistance Programme (IEA–ETSAP); the US Joint Institute for Strategic Energy Analysis (JISEA)/National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL); the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC); China's State Grid Energy Research Institute (SGERI); and the World Energy Council (WEC).

For more information, please contact: ltes@irena.org.